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Backtest call, July 16, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to July 16. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Bestfire 10-in Portable Cast Iron Single Burner Outdoor Camping Stove, 100000 BTU High…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
86
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedJuly 16, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
Bestfire 10-in Portable Cast Iron Single Burner Outdoor Camping Stove, 100000 BTU High Flame, 10"×10" Wide Heat, CSA-Certified Adjustable High-Pressure Regulator, Shielded Base, Portable for Tailgating Parties, Hiking Gear
Dated
July 16, 2026
Score
86 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until August 15, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-07-16",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732264653306302979",
    "name": "Bestfire 10-in Heavy-Duty Cast Iron Single Burner Outdoor Camping Stove, 100000 BTU High Flame for Turkey Fry & Seafood Boils, Adjustable High-Pressure Regulator, Shielded Base Portable Backpacking Stove, Hiking Gear Outdoor Cooking Equipment",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "bestfire-10-in-heavy-duty-cast-iron-single-burner-outdoor-ca-1732264653306302979",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 1.321,
    "demand": 0.7126,
    "reviews_7d": 20,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 3,
    "saturation": 0.2039,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 3,
      "burst": 1.9219,
      "velocity": 1.6944
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-07-16-tts_1732264653306302979",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w29"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-07-16","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732264653306302979","name":"Bestfire 10-in Heavy-Duty Cast Iron Single Burner Outdoor Camping Stove, 100000 BTU High Flame for Turkey Fry & Seafood Boils, Adjustable High-Pressure Regulator, Shielded Base Portable Backpacking Stove, Hiking Gear Outdoor Cooking Equipment","niche":"fitness","slug":"bestfire-10-in-heavy-duty-cast-iron-single-burner-outdoor-ca-1732264653306302979","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":1.321,"demand":0.7126,"reviews_7d":20,"reviews_prev_7d":3,"saturation":0.2039,"z":{"acceleration":3,"burst":1.9219,"velocity":1.6944}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-07-16-tts_1732264653306302979","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w29"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0xfe678f40b53e7537e73d12dc98d1fe06ff5d3b4ce11d7fe1de5d6862df7f7668
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending