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Backtest call, July 20, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to July 20. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

3-in-1 Treadmills Home, Flat/Incline Under Desk Treadmill, Shock-Absorbing Quiet Walking…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
85
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Jul 27
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedJuly 20, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Jul 27Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on July 27, 7 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
3-in-1 Treadmills Home, Flat/Incline Under Desk Treadmill, Shock-Absorbing Quiet Walking Pad, Exercise Equipment with Remote Control, 330 lbs Capacity, with LED Display, T1 classic
Dated
July 20, 2026
Score
85 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until August 19, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-07-20",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1731235061759512985",
    "name": "3-in-1 Treadmills Home, Flat/Incline Under Desk Treadmill, Shock-Absorbing Quiet Walking Pad, Exercise Equipment with Remote Control, 330 lbs Capacity, with LED Display, T1 classic",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "3-in-1-treadmills-home-flat-incline-under-desk-treadmill-sho-1731235061759512985",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.143,
    "demand": 0.6219,
    "reviews_7d": 16,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 3,
    "saturation": 0.2205,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 3,
      "burst": 1.6177,
      "velocity": 3
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-07-20-tts_1731235061759512985",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 85,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w30"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-07-20","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1731235061759512985","name":"3-in-1 Treadmills Home, Flat/Incline Under Desk Treadmill, Shock-Absorbing Quiet Walking Pad, Exercise Equipment with Remote Control, 330 lbs Capacity, with LED Display, T1 classic","niche":"fitness","slug":"3-in-1-treadmills-home-flat-incline-under-desk-treadmill-sho-1731235061759512985","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.143,"demand":0.6219,"reviews_7d":16,"reviews_prev_7d":3,"saturation":0.2205,"z":{"acceleration":3,"burst":1.6177,"velocity":3}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-07-20-tts_1731235061759512985","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w30"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x333185702b58627a24f55b5ea87b51d47009440180989cdc21c89cde4493efb7
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending