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Backtest call, August 16, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to August 16. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

#blackfriday Mossy Oak 12-in-1 Multitool Pocket Knife with Pouch, Stainless Steel…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
86
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedAugust 16, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
#blackfriday Mossy Oak 12-in-1 Multitool Pocket Knife with Pouch, Stainless Steel Multitool Knife with Clip, Survival Tools with Scissors, Bottle Opener, Wire Stripper, Glass Breaker, Screwdriv
Dated
August 16, 2026
Score
86 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until September 15, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-08-16",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732267632478359671",
    "name": "#toolupgrade Mossy Oak 12-in-1 Multitool Pocket Knife with Pouch, Stainless Steel Multitool Knife with Clip, Survival Tools with Scissors, Bottle Opener, Wire Stripper, Glass Breaker, Screwdriv",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "toolupgrade-mossy-oak-12-in-1-multitool-pocket-knife-with-po-1732267632478359671",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.464,
    "demand": 0.5844,
    "reviews_7d": 15,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 2,
    "saturation": 0.0599,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 3,
      "burst": 3,
      "velocity": 3
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-08-16-tts_1732267632478359671",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w33"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-08-16","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732267632478359671","name":"#toolupgrade Mossy Oak 12-in-1 Multitool Pocket Knife with Pouch, Stainless Steel Multitool Knife with Clip, Survival Tools with Scissors, Bottle Opener, Wire Stripper, Glass Breaker, Screwdriv","niche":"fitness","slug":"toolupgrade-mossy-oak-12-in-1-multitool-pocket-knife-with-po-1732267632478359671","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.464,"demand":0.5844,"reviews_7d":15,"reviews_prev_7d":2,"saturation":0.0599,"z":{"acceleration":3,"burst":3,"velocity":3}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-08-16-tts_1732267632478359671","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w33"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x651b2b980549023c51a36e048f930c05c896272d5842b683273ed060404331a1
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending