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Backtest call, August 22, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to August 22. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Women's Sporty Arisan Shoes Spring & Fall Elegant Fashion Casual Round Toe Low Top…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
85
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedAugust 22, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
Women's Sporty Arisan Shoes Spring & Fall Elegant Fashion Casual Round Toe Low Top Lace-Up Thick Sole Breathable Lowtop Casual Sneakers
Dated
August 22, 2026
Score
85 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until September 21, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-08-22",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732290836501205526",
    "name": "Women's Sporty Arisan Shoes Spring & Fall Elegant Fashion Casual Round Toe Low Top Lace-Up Thick Sole Breathable Sports Shoe",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "women-s-sporty-arisan-shoes-spring-and-fall-elegant-fashion-1732290836501205526",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.607,
    "demand": 0.5863,
    "reviews_7d": 15,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 3,
    "saturation": 0.1112,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 3,
      "burst": 2.9217,
      "velocity": 2.5865
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-08-22-tts_1732290836501205526",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 85,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w34"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-08-22","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732290836501205526","name":"Women's Sporty Arisan Shoes Spring & Fall Elegant Fashion Casual Round Toe Low Top Lace-Up Thick Sole Breathable Sports Shoe","niche":"fitness","slug":"women-s-sporty-arisan-shoes-spring-and-fall-elegant-fashion-1732290836501205526","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.607,"demand":0.5863,"reviews_7d":15,"reviews_prev_7d":3,"saturation":0.1112,"z":{"acceleration":3,"burst":2.9217,"velocity":2.5865}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-08-22-tts_1732290836501205526","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w34"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x395a1f15e56f8160236cc9a1c00ad951b86f8262bde827b2fabaecf177c88b70
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending