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Backtest call, August 23, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to August 23. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

JOYIN 1pcs/12pcs/24pcs/36pcs Dumpling Mystery Box,Quick rebound,Full of surprises,NOT ALL…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
86
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedAugust 23, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
JOYIN 1pcs/12pcs/24pcs/36pcs Dumpling Mystery Box,Quick rebound,Full of surprises,NOT ALL Glitter, Random Styles Surprise, Colorful Soft Squeeze Stress Balls Fidget Sensory Toy, Decompression Gift for Kids Adults Squeeze toy, Soft Sensory Squeeze Toy for
Dated
August 23, 2026
Score
86 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until September 22, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-08-23",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732422844084424711",
    "name": "JOYIN 1pcs/12pcs/24pcs/36pcs Dumpling Mystery Box,Quick rebound,Full of surprises,NOT ALL Glitter, Random Styles Surprise, Colorful Soft Squeeze Stress Balls Fidget Sensory Toy, Decompression Gift for Kids Adults Squeeze toy, Soft Sensory Squeeze Toy for",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "joyin-1pcs-12pcs-24pcs-36pcs-dumpling-mystery-box-quick-rebo-1732422844084424711",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 2.571,
    "demand": 0.8104,
    "reviews_7d": 29,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 13,
    "saturation": 0.1287,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.7869,
      "burst": 1.7847,
      "velocity": 1.1471
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-08-23-tts_1732422844084424711",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w34"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-08-23","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732422844084424711","name":"JOYIN 1pcs/12pcs/24pcs/36pcs Dumpling Mystery Box,Quick rebound,Full of surprises,NOT ALL Glitter, Random Styles Surprise, Colorful Soft Squeeze Stress Balls Fidget Sensory Toy, Decompression Gift for Kids Adults Squeeze toy, Soft Sensory Squeeze Toy for","niche":"home","slug":"joyin-1pcs-12pcs-24pcs-36pcs-dumpling-mystery-box-quick-rebo-1732422844084424711","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":2.571,"demand":0.8104,"reviews_7d":29,"reviews_prev_7d":13,"saturation":0.1287,"z":{"acceleration":1.7869,"burst":1.7847,"velocity":1.1471}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-08-23-tts_1732422844084424711","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w34"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x1908b38edcecc843ad751330c2eca6cbeccf73b8097a7254110a2e41716c2f02
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending