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Backtest call, August 29, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to August 29. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Men's Hooligans 24K Fan Jersey White Red Embroidery Festival Shirts Gift Party S~3XL

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
86
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedAugust 29, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
Men's Hooligans 24K Fan Jersey White Red Embroidery Festival Shirts Gift Party S~3XL
Dated
August 29, 2026
Score
86 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until September 28, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-08-29",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1731088213540639586",
    "name": "Men's Hooligans 24K Fan Jersey White Red Embroidery Festival Shirts Gift Party S~3XL",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "men-s-hooligans-24k-fan-jersey-white-red-embroidery-festival-1731088213540639586",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.821,
    "demand": 0.7,
    "reviews_7d": 21,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 9,
    "saturation": 0.2645,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.8486,
      "burst": 2.8781,
      "velocity": 2.8508
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-08-29-tts_1731088213540639586",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w35"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-08-29","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1731088213540639586","name":"Men's Hooligans 24K Fan Jersey White Red Embroidery Festival Shirts Gift Party S~3XL","niche":"fitness","slug":"men-s-hooligans-24k-fan-jersey-white-red-embroidery-festival-1731088213540639586","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.821,"demand":0.7,"reviews_7d":21,"reviews_prev_7d":9,"saturation":0.2645,"z":{"acceleration":1.8486,"burst":2.8781,"velocity":2.8508}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-08-29-tts_1731088213540639586","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w35"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0xa07679dcea4694257bfdb8b88bd65428f2883ecd9fd7d8d3ba67ce6a1709917e
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending