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Backtest call, September 7, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 7. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Ubesgoo 12FT Giant Spooky Ribbed Pumpkin Reaper Polyester Inflatable Halloween…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
85
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Sep 22
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedSeptember 7, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Sep 22Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on September 22, 15 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
Ubesgoo 12FT Giant Spooky Ribbed Pumpkin Reaper Polyester Inflatable Halloween Decoration, Waterproof Outdoor Patio Giant Figure, Bright Warm LED Lights, 115-Bead String Lights, Spooky Claw Hands, Black & Orange Artificial Pumpkin Outdoor Holiday Decor,ho
Dated
September 7, 2026
Score
85 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 7, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-07",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732478308784967691",
    "name": "Ubesgoo 12FT Giant Spooky Ribbed Pumpkin Reaper Polyester Inflatable Halloween Ornament, Waterproof Outdoor Patio Decor for Decorating for Halloween, Spooky Claw Hands, Bright Warm LED Lights, 115-Bead String Lights, Black & Orange",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "ubesgoo-12ft-giant-spooky-ribbed-pumpkin-reaper-polyester-in-1732478308784967691",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 1.321,
    "demand": 0.671,
    "reviews_7d": 19,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 8,
    "saturation": 0.0228,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.8722,
      "burst": 1.4932,
      "velocity": 1.5493
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-07-tts_1732478308784967691",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 85,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w37"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-07","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732478308784967691","name":"Ubesgoo 12FT Giant Spooky Ribbed Pumpkin Reaper Polyester Inflatable Halloween Ornament, Waterproof Outdoor Patio Decor for Decorating for Halloween, Spooky Claw Hands, Bright Warm LED Lights, 115-Bead String Lights, Black & Orange","niche":"home","slug":"ubesgoo-12ft-giant-spooky-ribbed-pumpkin-reaper-polyester-in-1732478308784967691","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":1.321,"demand":0.671,"reviews_7d":19,"reviews_prev_7d":8,"saturation":0.0228,"z":{"acceleration":1.8722,"burst":1.4932,"velocity":1.5493}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-07-tts_1732478308784967691","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w37"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x5b2112d269d13b9c69cd8279bc0e66e38798e084dab8c8fb3a0139babd551aa7
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending