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Backtest call, September 12, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 12. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

【Black Friday】Luxury 36-Piece Makeup Brush and Beauty Tool Kit, Cosmetic Brushes…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
88
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Missed
No breakout in 30 days
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedSeptember 12, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.

The call as it was written

Product
【Black Friday】Luxury 36-Piece Makeup Brush and Beauty Tool Kit, Cosmetic Brushes, Sponges, Triangular Puffs, Headband and Wristbands
Dated
September 12, 2026
Score
88 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 12, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-12",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1730719099242647795",
    "name": "Luxury 36-Piece Brush Kit - Makeup Helper Kit, Beauty Tools Set, Beauty Care Tool, Cosmetics Brush Set, Makeup Brushes, Sponges, Triangle Puffs, Headband & Wristbands",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "luxury-36-piece-brush-kit-makeup-helper-kit-beauty-tools-set-1730719099242647795",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 1.464,
    "demand": 0.7657,
    "reviews_7d": 26,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 13,
    "saturation": 0.1939,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.5399,
      "burst": 2.6495,
      "velocity": 2.1016
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-12-tts_1730719099242647795",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 88,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w37"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-12","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1730719099242647795","name":"Luxury 36-Piece Brush Kit - Makeup Helper Kit, Beauty Tools Set, Beauty Care Tool, Cosmetics Brush Set, Makeup Brushes, Sponges, Triangle Puffs, Headband & Wristbands","niche":"home","slug":"luxury-36-piece-brush-kit-makeup-helper-kit-beauty-tools-set-1730719099242647795","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":1.464,"demand":0.7657,"reviews_7d":26,"reviews_prev_7d":13,"saturation":0.1939,"z":{"acceleration":1.5399,"burst":2.6495,"velocity":2.1016}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-12-tts_1730719099242647795","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":88,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w37"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x193b481a5135d32670daf1ba4eb8cc2aa6de9ec20fde49bcadf7b1f3e2bdf44f
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending