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Backtest call, September 13, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 13. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Portable Compact Cast Iron Wood Stove - Campfire Cooking Equipment, High Heat Output…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
85
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Sep 16
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedSeptember 13, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Sep 16Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on September 16, 3 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
Portable Compact Cast Iron Wood Stove - Campfire Cooking Equipment, High Heat Output, Efficient Burning Design, Tabletop Portable Smokers, BBQ Grill, Camping Supplies for Hiking, Light Outdoor Picnics,familyfun
Dated
September 13, 2026
Score
85 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 13, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-13",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1731285269014548765",
    "name": "Portable Compact Cast Iron Wood Stove - Campfire Cooking Equipment, High Heat Output, Efficient Burning, Compact Design, Portable Outdoor Smokers, BBQs, Camping Supplies for Hiking, Light Outdoor Picnics",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "portable-compact-cast-iron-wood-stove-campfire-cooking-equip-1731285269014548765",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 1.286,
    "demand": 0.7106,
    "reviews_7d": 22,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 15,
    "saturation": 0.2505,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 0.9001,
      "burst": 2.8227,
      "velocity": 2.0118
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-13-tts_1731285269014548765",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 85,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w37"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-13","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1731285269014548765","name":"Portable Compact Cast Iron Wood Stove - Campfire Cooking Equipment, High Heat Output, Efficient Burning, Compact Design, Portable Outdoor Smokers, BBQs, Camping Supplies for Hiking, Light Outdoor Picnics","niche":"fitness","slug":"portable-compact-cast-iron-wood-stove-campfire-cooking-equip-1731285269014548765","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":1.286,"demand":0.7106,"reviews_7d":22,"reviews_prev_7d":15,"saturation":0.2505,"z":{"acceleration":0.9001,"burst":2.8227,"velocity":2.0118}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-13-tts_1731285269014548765","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w37"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0xb7bb6c93c5559d82504e8e683c8d3d38789c10100ad4061965d2cb88da279765
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending