Backtest call, September 23, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 23. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.
TOODOUR 4-Pack Extra-Large Solar Flickering Flame Torch Lights, Waterproof Outdoor…
- Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
- 86
- Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
- 43%
- Outcome
- Missed No breakout in 30 days
A replay, not a sealed call
- ReplayedSeptember 23, 2026
- Never sealedNot counted
- JudgedNo breakout in 30 daysMissed: no breakout within 30 days of the call. It stays in the backtest.
The call as it was written
- Product
- TOODOUR 4-Pack Extra-Large Solar Flickering Flame Torch Lights, Waterproof Outdoor Halloween Decor with Built-In Batteries, Auto On/Off, Easy Installation for Garden Yard Backyard Solar Landscape Lights,home decor
- Dated
- September 23, 2026
- Score
- 86 of 100
- A hit is
- Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
- Window
- 30 days, until October 23, 2026
- Data
- New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints
Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.
{
"backtest": true,
"called_at": "2026-09-23",
"data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
"entity": {
"id": "tts_1732381357079171813",
"name": "TOODOUR 4-Pack Extra-Large Solar Flickering Flame Torch Lights, Waterproof Outdoor Halloween Decor with Built-In Batteries, Auto On/Off, Easy Installation for Garden Yard Backyard Solar Landscape Lights",
"niche": "home",
"slug": "toodour-4-pack-extra-large-solar-flickering-flame-torch-ligh-1732381357079171813",
"type": "product"
},
"features": {
"baseline_per_day": 0.821,
"demand": 0.6331,
"reviews_7d": 19,
"reviews_prev_7d": 13,
"saturation": 0.0126,
"z": {
"acceleration": 0.5505,
"burst": 2.1153,
"velocity": 2.4421
}
},
"hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
"id": "c-2026-09-23-tts_1732381357079171813",
"mock_data": false,
"model_version": "shop-0.1",
"p_break": 0.4338,
"recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
"score": 86,
"stage": "Emerging",
"week": "2026-w39"
}Raw canonical string
{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-23","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732381357079171813","name":"TOODOUR 4-Pack Extra-Large Solar Flickering Flame Torch Lights, Waterproof Outdoor Halloween Decor with Built-In Batteries, Auto On/Off, Easy Installation for Garden Yard Backyard Solar Landscape Lights","niche":"home","slug":"toodour-4-pack-extra-large-solar-flickering-flame-torch-ligh-1732381357079171813","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.821,"demand":0.6331,"reviews_7d":19,"reviews_prev_7d":13,"saturation":0.0126,"z":{"acceleration":0.5505,"burst":2.1153,"velocity":2.4421}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-23-tts_1732381357079171813","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w39"}- Leaf (SHA-256)
0x0640638f6d4abab795d07bcff747f518f86e4234fcb6e64baf896f1970fe567a- Merkle proof
- Available after the batch.
- Batch root
- Pending