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Backtest call, September 28, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 28. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Battery-Powered Orange Cempasuchil (Mexican Marigold) Flower LED String Lights, 3m…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
86
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Oct 13
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedSeptember 28, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Oct 13Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on October 13, 15 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
Battery-Powered Orange Cempasuchil (Mexican Marigold) Flower LED String Lights, 3m 20-Flashing Garland for Day of the Dead Altars, Fall Home Decor, Porch Accents, Table Displays, Home Decor Items, Porch Decor
Dated
September 28, 2026
Score
86 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 28, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-28",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732526336826708574",
    "name": "3m Battery-Powered Orange Cempasuchil (Mexican Marigold) Flower LED String Lights, 20-Flashing Garland Great for Day of the Dead Altars, Fall Decor Home, Porch Decor",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "3m-battery-powered-orange-cempasuchil-mexican-marigold-flowe-1732526336826708574",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 4.714,
    "demand": 0.8968,
    "reviews_7d": 57,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 25,
    "saturation": 0.2265,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.698,
      "burst": 1.7897,
      "velocity": 1.0504
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-28-tts_1732526336826708574",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w40"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-28","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732526336826708574","name":"3m Battery-Powered Orange Cempasuchil (Mexican Marigold) Flower LED String Lights, 20-Flashing Garland Great for Day of the Dead Altars, Fall Decor Home, Porch Decor","niche":"home","slug":"3m-battery-powered-orange-cempasuchil-mexican-marigold-flowe-1732526336826708574","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":4.714,"demand":0.8968,"reviews_7d":57,"reviews_prev_7d":25,"saturation":0.2265,"z":{"acceleration":1.698,"burst":1.7897,"velocity":1.0504}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-28-tts_1732526336826708574","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w40"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0xccddc2a6e3984d11f5638d579759912f9154693ecfd9f696174c577c8dec6657
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending