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Backtest call, October 1, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to October 1. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

Cassie Denim Pant Set - Vintage Wash

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
90
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Oct 22
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedOctober 1, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Oct 22Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on October 22, 21 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
Cassie Denim Pant Set - Vintage Wash
Dated
October 1, 2026
Score
90 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 31, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-10-01",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732537996605428584",
    "name": "Cassie Denim Pant Set - Vintage Wash",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "cassie-denim-pant-set-vintage-wash-1732537996605428584",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.75,
    "demand": 0.6878,
    "reviews_7d": 23,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 11,
    "saturation": 0.0148,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.64,
      "burst": 3,
      "velocity": 3
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-10-01-tts_1732537996605428584",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 90,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w40"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-10-01","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732537996605428584","name":"Cassie Denim Pant Set - Vintage Wash","niche":"home","slug":"cassie-denim-pant-set-vintage-wash-1732537996605428584","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.75,"demand":0.6878,"reviews_7d":23,"reviews_prev_7d":11,"saturation":0.0148,"z":{"acceleration":1.64,"burst":3,"velocity":3}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-10-01-tts_1732537996605428584","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":90,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w40"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0x3fc77910567ffbb839c816a8f52182ebc9d4e4ca913a629a3e41d36d1ee06252
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending