Every call is published before the outcome is known and anchored on-chain, so it cannot be changed afterwards. Misses stay on the record. How a call is judged
25called it
0missed
0too late
36still open
Median lead on hits 3 days. No call has run its 30 days yet, so there is no hit rate: a hit shows early, a miss only at the end.
Since October 8, 2026: 61 calls, 61 anchored on Base. A call has 30 days to come true.
Before our first live call, we replayed the same rule day by day on 12 weeks of history. Of 391 calls that have run their 30 days, 162 hit (41%) and 229 missed, with hits arriving a median 4 days after the call. The call threshold was tuned on this same history, so treat it as a best case.