回测预测，2026年9月3日

[SIZE UP 1] DEEFY LJ Women's Fitted V-Back Hidden Scrunch Compression Stretch Seamless…

预测时的评分: 86
爆发几率: 43%
结果: 已命中

分享卡片

重放，不是已封存的预测

已重放2026年9月3日
从未封存不计入
判定9月16日命中命中：7 天内评论量在 9月16日达到基线的 3×，距预测 13 天。

预测的原始内容

商品: [SIZE UP 1] DEEFY LJ Women's Fitted V-Back Hidden Scrunch Compression Stretch Seamless Sports Shorts, Low Back Butt Lifting Lightweight Gym Clothes Products for Yoga, Gym #BackToSchool
日期: 2026年9月3日
评分: 86 / 100
命中标准: 商品命中：7 天内新增公开评论达到该商品自身滞后基线的 3 倍（即此前第 42 至第 14 天中位日的 7 倍），且不少于 30 条，并在预测发出后 30 天内出现。在每日销量数据覆盖同一时段之前，以评论数代替销量。
窗口期: 30 天，截至 2026年10月3日
数据: TikTok Shop 商品页每日新增的公开评价

原始记录及其指纹

按存储原样哈希：键已排序，无空白。此处为格式化显示；实际参与哈希的是原始字符串。

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-03",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1732409969643655173",
    "name": "[SIZE UP 1] DEEFY LJ Women's Fitted V-Back Hidden Scrunch Compression Stretch Seamless Shorts, Low Back Butt Lifting Lightweight Gym Fits Activewear for Yoga, Gym #BackToSchool",
    "niche": "fitness",
    "slug": "size-up-1-deefy-lj-women-s-fitted-v-back-hidden-scrunch-comp-1732409969643655173",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.429,
    "demand": 0.5748,
    "reviews_7d": 15,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 7,
    "saturation": 0.0036,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.4888,
      "burst": 3,
      "velocity": 2.9884
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-03-tts_1732409969643655173",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 86,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w36"
}

原始规范字符串

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-03","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1732409969643655173","name":"[SIZE UP 1] DEEFY LJ Women's Fitted V-Back Hidden Scrunch Compression Stretch Seamless Shorts, Low Back Butt Lifting Lightweight Gym Fits Activewear for Yoga, Gym #BackToSchool","niche":"fitness","slug":"size-up-1-deefy-lj-women-s-fitted-v-back-hidden-scrunch-comp-1732409969643655173","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.429,"demand":0.5748,"reviews_7d":15,"reviews_prev_7d":7,"saturation":0.0036,"z":{"acceleration":1.4888,"burst":3,"velocity":2.9884}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-03-tts_1732409969643655173","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":86,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w36"}

叶子节点 (SHA-256): 0xd34b2b0044bff0ebb7dc859beaf72f6e3722b503b3ce3695653c4eabbad02d74
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批次根: 进行中