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Backtest call, September 25, 2026This is a replay, not a prediction. The rule was run on history already collected when the ledger started, using only the days up to September 25. It is not counted in the record and not part of any batch.

SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit…

Score at the callThe HashIQ Score, 0 to 100, on the day of the call.
85
Breakout oddsHow many products at this Score broke out within 30 days, in the backtest.
43%
Outcome
Called it
Hit on Sep 30
Share card

A replay, not a sealed call

  1. ReplayedSeptember 25, 2026
  2. Never sealedNot counted
  3. JudgedHit on Sep 30Hit: reviews in 7 days reached 3× their baseline on September 30, 5 days after the call.

The call as it was written

Product
SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive
Dated
September 25, 2026
Score
85 of 100
A hit is
Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.
Window
30 days, until October 25, 2026
Data
New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages
The exact record and its fingerprints

Hashed exactly as stored: keys sorted, no whitespace. Pretty-printed here; the raw string is what gets hashed.

{
  "backtest": true,
  "called_at": "2026-09-25",
  "data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
  "entity": {
    "id": "tts_1731539013984817273",
    "name": "SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive",
    "niche": "home",
    "slug": "shareconn-giant-halloween-archway-10ft-tall-pvc-spooky-blow-1731539013984817273",
    "type": "product"
  },
  "features": {
    "baseline_per_day": 0.357,
    "demand": 0.5549,
    "reviews_7d": 16,
    "reviews_prev_7d": 6,
    "saturation": 0.0358,
    "z": {
      "acceleration": 1.738,
      "burst": 2.6251,
      "velocity": 3
    }
  },
  "hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
  "id": "c-2026-09-25-tts_1731539013984817273",
  "mock_data": false,
  "model_version": "shop-0.1",
  "p_break": 0.4338,
  "recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
  "score": 85,
  "stage": "Emerging",
  "week": "2026-w39"
}

Raw canonical string

{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-25","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1731539013984817273","name":"SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive","niche":"home","slug":"shareconn-giant-halloween-archway-10ft-tall-pvc-spooky-blow-1731539013984817273","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.357,"demand":0.5549,"reviews_7d":16,"reviews_prev_7d":6,"saturation":0.0358,"z":{"acceleration":1.738,"burst":2.6251,"velocity":3}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-25-tts_1731539013984817273","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w39"}
Leaf (SHA-256)
0xff97a829b9e0b567ec0d768647e56c707fba64da06585b5b4f2b71ee602b767b
Merkle proof
Available after the batch.
Batch root
Pending