回测预测，2026年9月25日这是重放，而非预测。规则运行于账本启动时已收集的历史数据，仅使用截至 9月25日 的日期。它不计入记录，也不属于任何批次。
SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit…
- 预测时的评分预测当天的 HashIQ 评分，从 0 到 100。
- 85
- 爆发几率回测中，这个评分的商品有多少在 30 天内爆发。
- 43%
- 结果
- 已命中 9月30日 命中
重放，不是已封存的预测
- 已重放2026年9月25日
- 从未封存不计入
- 判定9月30日 命中命中：7 天内评论量在 9月30日 达到基线的 3×，距预测 5 天。
预测的原始内容
- 商品
- SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive
- 日期
- 2026年9月25日
- 评分
- 85 / 100
- 命中标准
- 商品命中：7 天内新增公开评论达到该商品自身滞后基线的 3 倍（即此前第 42 至第 14 天中位日的 7 倍），且不少于 30 条，并在预测发出后 30 天内出现。在每日销量数据覆盖同一时段之前，以评论数代替销量。
- 窗口期
- 30 天，截至 2026年10月25日
- 数据
- TikTok Shop 商品页每日新增的公开评价
原始记录及其指纹
按存储原样哈希：键已排序，无空白。此处为格式化显示；实际参与哈希的是原始字符串。
{
"backtest": true,
"called_at": "2026-09-25",
"data_source": "New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages",
"entity": {
"id": "tts_1731539013984817273",
"name": "SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive",
"niche": "home",
"slug": "shareconn-giant-halloween-archway-10ft-tall-pvc-spooky-blow-1731539013984817273",
"type": "product"
},
"features": {
"baseline_per_day": 0.357,
"demand": 0.5549,
"reviews_7d": 16,
"reviews_prev_7d": 6,
"saturation": 0.0358,
"z": {
"acceleration": 1.738,
"burst": 2.6251,
"velocity": 3
}
},
"hit_rule": "Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.",
"id": "c-2026-09-25-tts_1731539013984817273",
"mock_data": false,
"model_version": "shop-0.1",
"p_break": 0.4338,
"recorded_at": "2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z",
"score": 85,
"stage": "Emerging",
"week": "2026-w39"
}原始规范字符串
{"backtest":true,"called_at":"2026-09-25","data_source":"New public reviews a day on TikTok Shop product pages","entity":{"id":"tts_1731539013984817273","name":"SHareconn Giant Halloween Archway 10FT Tall PVC Spooky Blow Up Pumpkin Decor, LED-Lit Holiday Decoration, Indoor/Outdoor Halloween Front Porch Lawn Garden Decor, Festive","niche":"home","slug":"shareconn-giant-halloween-archway-10ft-tall-pvc-spooky-blow-1731539013984817273","type":"product"},"features":{"baseline_per_day":0.357,"demand":0.5549,"reviews_7d":16,"reviews_prev_7d":6,"saturation":0.0358,"z":{"acceleration":1.738,"burst":2.6251,"velocity":3}},"hit_rule":"Product hit: new public reviews in 7 days reach 3 times the product's own trailing baseline (7 times its median day over days 42 to 14 before) and at least 30, within 30 days of the call. Reviews stand in for sales until daily sold counts cover the same period.","id":"c-2026-09-25-tts_1731539013984817273","mock_data":false,"model_version":"shop-0.1","p_break":0.4338,"recorded_at":"2026-10-10T11:14:37.623Z","score":85,"stage":"Emerging","week":"2026-w39"}- 叶子节点 (SHA-256)
0xff97a829b9e0b567ec0d768647e56c707fba64da06585b5b4f2b71ee602b767b- Merkle 证明
- 批次完成后可查看。
- 批次根
- 进行中